Ecuador: Meteorologists Predict Heavy Rains Due to El Niño

2023-11-17

"The El Niño phenomenon will make its biggest incursion in mid-December, according to experts from the National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (INAMHI)," said Mario Benavides Rojas, zone 7 coordinator of the National Risk Management Service. 

After learning that after a month of oceanographic and meteorological exploration in the Ecuadorian sea to verify the proximity of the El Niño phenomenon, the scientific research vessel Orion of the Ecuadorian Navy returned from the campaign. 

The team measured the parameters in 57 stations installed from the mainland to the Galapagos Islands, which allowed researchers from the scientific area of Inocar to establish that the rains of the El Niño phenomenon will begin on November 15, which will be intense and trigger floods in the country. 

Given this, Benavides said that with these data, it can be foreseen that rainfall will be in the southern part of the country, Loja and El Oro, in mid-December. Still, he considers that changes on a global scale must be taken into account because now it cannot be 'determined with such accuracy'.  For this reason, it emphasizes that it cannot certify with certainty that the onset of the eventuality occurs on the exact date. Experts also confirmed that the sea temperature is 3 degrees higher than usual. 

About the current cool weather, when it should be warm, he added that it could be an indicator that the rainy season is settling in. 

Regarding the information that points to El Oro as one of the provinces that would be most affected by the phenomenon, he pointed out that it is 'speculation' because it cannot be predicted.