La Niña Phenomenon Could Appear in Colombia by the End of 2025

2025-07-11

Colombia's agricultural sector is being advised to take precautions based on climate forecasts for the rest of 2025. According to the June Agroclimatic Bulletin from the Rural Agricultural Planning Unit (Upra), there is a 41% chance that La Niña could form by late 2025, bringing heavier rainfall and potentially affecting around 260,000 hectares of crops between June and November.

Bananas, plantains, cocoa, avocado, coffee, corn, potatoes, and various vegetables are especially at risk. The Andean Region—particularly Antioquia, Boyacá, and Norte de Santander—is considered highly vulnerable, with over 120,000 hectares exposed. The Caribbean Region, including Córdoba and Bolívar, also faces elevated risk.

Meanwhile, some departments, such as La Guajira, Tolima, Huila, Cauca, and Nariño, may experience rainfall shortfalls of up to 20%, posing challenges to crop production. The Pacific Region has about 8,000 hectares at risk from excessive rainfall and possible landslides. Experts warn of increased forest fire risks during the dry season, from July to mid-September. Upra urges farmers and local governments to coordinate their efforts with forecasts from Ideam and follow recommendations from the National Agroclimatic Technical Table.