Maersk Raises Full-Year Earnings Outlook

2021-08-27

Maersk is making boatloads of profit as freight prices skyrocket. The company projects that demand will grow 6-8% for the rest of 2021; Q3 exports from China increase. As a result, it's adjusted its full-year earnings (before taxes, depreciation, and all that good stuff) from US$13-15bn to US$18-19.5bn. Explains Maersk: 'The strong quarterly performance is mainly driven by [chaos in the supply chain]'.

However, its Q3 earnings will be volatile at best. Although earnings are expected to increase, Maersk expects sharp dips and spikes in demand. It's grown difficult to predict consumer purchasing patterns, Delta variant outbreaks, and disruptions in shipping ports. Over the past month, Vietnam has had to clamp back down on freight facilities, Europe has struggled with flash floods, and the US has seen rising Delta infections amongst the unvaccinated.

What's Going On? Given that much of the world's freight is shipped from Asia, APAC will be a crucial component of Maersk's strategy in the future. 'COVID-19 continues to cause supply-side problems', Maersk says. 'Low container availability, tighter air capacity, longer dwell times outside ports, and trucking and warehousing bottlenecks'. Here are the latest shipping trends:

Delays in Europe. In July, Maersk faced a gap of more than seven days between estimated and actual freight departure dates in Northern Europe. The company's Hub helped clients track their goods in real-time and predict estimated arrival times.

Equipment shortages in Asia. Maersk has introduced extra loaders and gap loaders to help move surplus containers back to APAC. The company hopes to mitigate congestion, especially in the Pacific Southwest, but 40-ft dry containers and 40-ft non-operating reefer containers are in short supply. To cope with port congestion in Auckland, Maersk adjusted shipping schedules and concentrated its critical service calls at Tauranga, an alternate entry port.

APAC and Beyond

The critical theme is that Maersk has taken rapid steps to mitigate the global supply and demand imbalance. It recently launched its APAC-North American TPX Transpacific West Coast shipping service to serve Yantian, Ningbo, and Los Angeles and a TP20 Transpacific East Coast route to benefit Vung Tau, Ningbo, Shanghai, Norfolk, and Baltimore.

In other regions-Asia to Latin America, Oceania, and West Central Asia-Maersk has also ramped up its client response services, raised its port buffer times, and added new vessels to its fleet. 'We expect the ocean network across all trades to continue to be fully used as export demand remains strong', Maersk states. 'We're doing our utmost to keep cargo moving without disruption or delay'.